Jim Cantore in Panama City Watching the WeatherMatt Boster
Posted by: Matt Boster
Date: May 15 2018 8:04 AM
WEATHER CHANEL: An area of low pressure in the eastern Gulf of Mexico is being monitored for subtropical or tropical development this week as it spreads heavy rainfall across Florida and other parts of the Southeast U.S., potentially giving the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season an early start.
The National Hurricane Center is currently giving the system a low chance of development into a subtropical or tropical depression or storm over the next five days. Heavy rainfall will be the primary concern regardless, especially in the Sunshine State.
For now, the disturbance consists of a well-defined upper-level swirl of low pressure but a disorganized, elongated area of low pressure at the surface. This system has not become any better organized since Monday and conditions are becoming less favorable for development.
If surface low pressure becomes a well-defined circulation with enough convection nearby, this would be the first subtropical or tropical depression or storm of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, which doesn’t officially begin until June 1. If it reached tropical storm strength, it would earn the name Alberto.